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Roundball Stew: The Importance of Composure
10:00 PM PDT on Tuesday, October 28, 2008
Admit it - you're a little bit concerned right now.
Though there were only three games on NBA's opening night, you saw at least one thing from one of your players - and maybe two, or even three things - that made you start to panic.
At heady times like these, I am tempted to channel one of the all-time great advice-givers, Frank Ricard (a.k.a. "Frank the Tank") from Old School. The specific piece of wisdom I refer to is what Frank (wearing only tidy whites and shoes) says to his fraternity brothers in the locker room after he shanks the vault off the trampoline, crashing into the ring of fire and setting his cougar suit ablaze:
"We can't have anyone FREAK OUT out there, okay!?! We've gotta keep our composure. We've come too far. There's too much to lose [picks up folding chair]. We've gotta just [picks up chair, smashes against nearby lockers] keep our composure!"
The important thing to remember is that this was just one night of games. Soon it will be two, then three. Even then, we must all collectively remember not to panic.
Of course, no matter how many times we repeat that mantra, many of us are on the verge of losing our cool nonetheless. The following outlooks on a handful of panic-inducing players will hopefully help harness a zen-like (non-chair smashing) state of calm:
Nothing to freak out about (yet)
Andrew Bynum - He looked lost offensively in his first regular season game in over nine months. Clearly frustrated at a lack of touches in the low post, at one point Bynum caught the ball in transition and pulled up for an awkward mid-range jumper, apparently in desperation to get something up towards the rim. The final line wasn't pretty (eight points, three rebounds, three blocks on 4-of-10 shooting), but physically, Bynum looks just fine. The stats are coming soon, so now's your time to buy low.
Andrew Bogut - You were probably hoping for something better than nine points and seven rebounds against a small Chicago front court, but Bogut's line (which included a steal and a block) is actually rather encouraging considering that he missed much of the preseason with a sore ankle.
Mo Williams - Those who are worried about his assist numbers going down playing with LeBron James can't be thrilled with Williams' opening night line (12 points, three rebounds, two assists), but it's important to remember that the Cavs were playing one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, and Williams had the ball in his hands plenty. He may not reach 6.4 apg (his average from last year), but he shouldn't be too far off it, either. Furthermore, you didn't draft him to carry your squad in assists (hopefully). You drafted because he can score, hand out some assists, grab some steals and hit some threes. He's a shoot-first point guard, and his scoring should be just fine.
Time to freak out (in a celebratory way)
Derrick Rose - If you drafted him, a light smattering of applause in your general direction. And if for some reason he's available on your waiver wire, go make a transaction. It's probably not time to go streaking up towards the quad out of pure euphoria just yet, as Rose doesn't appear to have three-point range and may encounter some dicey shooting and turnover nights up ahead. Regardless, Rose is the real thing, and should be a rather exciting player to own all year.
Tyrus Thomas - It stopped short of monstrous, but this was an extremely encouraging opener for Thomas nonetheless (15 points, 10 rebounds, three assists, two steals and a block). Not only was he active around the rim, but he also showed a sweet touch on his outside shot, burying several catch-and-shoot jumpers from a couple steps inside the three-point line. Most importantly, the minutes were there (41) in his first game under new coach Vinny Del Negro. It's still impossible to forget that Thomas has a horrendous habit of following up great games with absolute duds, but so far, so good.
Luol Deng - He looked explosive, aggressive and energized on his way to 21 points. After his numbers regressed slightly across the board last season, they should be on the rise once again this year.
Rudy Fernandez - "Slick" is the first word that comes to mind, and not in the sense that he just put a sizable dollop of pomade in his hair. Slick in this case refers to the fact that he's a savvy player who knows when and where to find his shot, and has one of the smoothest releases you'll see. And though Fernandez came off the bench, his minutes (29) and production (16 points, four assists, two steals, three threes) were very encouraging. There's a decent chance he's available in your league, and if so, he probably won't stay there for long.
Travis Outlaw - He emerged as a solid end-of-the-roster contributor last year, and appears poised to make another leap in productivity this season. The most encouraging sign for Outlaw owners is that he went 2-of-4 on three-pointers in the opener after averaging just 0.5 makes on 1.2 attempts in 2007-08. His mid-range jumper has always been a weapon, but the 24-year-old appears to have finally honed his three-point stroke. Given his potential to contribute in threes, steals and blocks, Outlaw shouldn't be lingering on free agent wires any longer.
Time to freak out (in a 'I just set my cougar suit ablaze jumping off a trampoline into a ring of fire' kind of way)
Charlie Villanueva - Four points, three rebounds and one assist on 1-of-5 shooting in nine minutes qualifies as the most ghastly line of the night. And it was certainly discouraging to see Villanueva sitting on the bench with a vacant look and a piece of gum dangling out of his mouth during the game's closing minutes. Normally one game is just one game, and yes, he got into early foul trouble, but it's time to be a little bit concerned. The reason: Scott Skiles is falling in love with rookie Luc Richard Mbah a Moute (not in that way). Mbah a Moute doesn't have Villanueva's scoring potential, but he does play great defense, and coaches like that. It's probably too soon to banish Charlie V. to waivers as punishment, as he should eventually settle into twenty-something minutes and somewhere around 12 points and six boards per game, just as he's done the past two years. But for those of us who were expecting significantly more, it appears we may have been duped once again.
Kirk Hinrich - Considering that he played just 26 minutes off the bench, his line in this game was actually quite impressive (15 points, seven assists, two three-pointers). However, if you own Hinrich, don't delude yourself into thinking that he can put up 15 and seven all year. He has averaged 15+ ppg in the past, but to do so, he's needed more than 35 minutes a night. Last year, when his minutes dipped to a career-low 32 per game, he averaged 11.6 points and 6.0 assists. This year, his minutes are set for another decline, because the rookie starting ahead of him can play. If you find yourself believing in Hinrich after his strong opening night, there's a chance someone else believes too, in which case you need to see what you can get in a trade for him right away. Quite simply, Derrick Rose isn't going anywhere, and Hinrich's stats, though maybe not an embarrassment, will no doubt be frustrating.
Greg Oden - He's sporting a lovely Amish-style beard, but the good news essentially stops there. Oden looked winded and altogether confused in the post, displaying an overall air of dishevelment and discomfort, like a man who had just accidentally milked a bull and drank from the bucket. Making matters more bleak, he's headed for an MRI on an injured foot. It's not time to cut bait just yet, as Oden still has plenty of potential in boards and blocks. But immediately lower your expectations for offense into the seven to eight point range, which is probably where they should have been all along. Now just hope that the MRI comes back clean, so that we can all safely and happily go back to panicking about the other players on our squad.









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