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Boeing's biggest jet may ride recovery wave

by GLENN FARLEY / KING5 News

KING5.com

Posted on November 13, 2009 at 3:58 PM

Updated Friday, Nov 13 at 7:26 PM

EVERETT, Wash. - The first 747-8 Intercontinental has now rolled out of Boeing's immense Everett Plant. It's the largest plane Boeing's ever built.

The 747-8 is 18-feet longer, and has a 13-foot wider wingspan than the 747-400 it replaces... and more than three quarters of the planes on order have no seats or windows for passengers. They're freighters - all cargo planes with a nose that swings up and out of the way to accommodate long loads, and big swing up doors on the side.

And, Boeing says it's 16-percent more efficient than its predecessor.

While all this talk about cargo makes some people's eyes glaze over, what's happening in Everett is  keeping production humming and people employed.  Cargo holds a lot of promise, and not just for the 747, which has been in production since the late 1960s.

Last year, Boeing delivered its first 777 freighter to Air France.

For decades, most freighters were older converted passenger planes, but not any more - at least when it comes to the larger freighters ranging from the 777 to the Russian build AN 1.

"Sixty percent are now new airplanes," said Tom Crabtree, Boeing's regional director for Airline Revenue Analysis for the Cargo Market.

But it's what's  happening in the freight business that's showing encouraging signs for the economy.

According to the Seattle Based Air Cargo Management group that tracks the air freight industry, shipments eastbound out of Asia are up significantly in the last three weeks alone.

Boeing says Korean Air Cargo was up 33-percent in September alone, and 24-percent in October. Much of that was Christmas goods heading to North America.  For the rest of the world, which saw worrisome declines first in 2007, then  dramatic declines in 2008, they're feeling what may be the bottom of a slowdown.

Crabtree says his research finds that the freight business hasn't been this bad for any  mode since the darkest years of the Great Depression.

 But as a sign of things to come, consider the bet Billionaire Warren Buffet placed in recent weeks. Buffet bought the rest of Burlington Northern Santa Fe Railroad. Buffet has long said that if you want to see the first signs of an economic recovery, look at what's being shipped. Crabtree says the air freight market isn't much  different.

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Comments: Displaying 1 - 5 of 5

jackwong said on November 14, 2009 at 7:39 PM

@factoid: Is the mere fact that there are more cardboard boxes being ordered means there is a recovery? Does this fact mean the products are products of America, which contributes to American wealth? Or is it just simply repackaging foreign-made items that contribute to debt? I am still trying to understand why would anyone use the word reovery with a still increasing unemployment rate. Even the fed knows not to raise anymore rates, and we are running around using the "R" word?

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factoid said on November 14, 2009 at 7:06 PM

"jackwong" you probably have not heard of the cardboard index. When the cardboard manufacturer sees orders increase, it means more people are buying things that require boxes. These boxes need to be shipped and shipping companies are seeing and increase in packages. So while this 'recovery wave' may or may not be permanent , at least in the short term this is a good thing.

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klondiko said on November 14, 2009 at 3:29 PM

Bigger. Bigger. Bigger. Where we gonna park these things?

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jackwong said on November 14, 2009 at 5:50 AM

What recovery wave?

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jackwong said on November 14, 2009 at 5:49 AM

What recovery wave?

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